Boise State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
57  Michael Vennard SO 31:35
118  Elijah Armstrong FR 31:56
149  Louis McAfee SO 32:03
175  Rhys Park SO 32:10
240  Addison DeHaven FR 32:24
251  Chandler Austin FR 32:25
494  John Rodeheffer FR 32:58
619  Dan Oekerman SO 33:12
749  Riley Campbell FR 33:25
National Rank #20 of 308
West Region Rank #5 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 64.8%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 10.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 45.5%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 60.5%
Top 10 in Regional 99.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Vennard Elijah Armstrong Louis McAfee Rhys Park Addison DeHaven Chandler Austin John Rodeheffer Dan Oekerman Riley Campbell
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 690 31:26 32:53 32:04 32:24 32:46 33:43 32:31 32:57
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 616 31:31 32:54 31:50 32:12 32:24 32:31 33:08
Mountain West Championships 10/30 544 31:33 31:57 33:03 32:05 32:14 32:01 33:22 32:31 33:23
West Region Championships 11/13 549 31:42 32:02 32:00 32:08 32:13 31:59 35:30
NCAA Championship 11/21 523 31:46 31:35 31:50 32:01 32:27 32:27 32:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 64.8% 17.1 445 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 5.3 150 0.1 1.4 10.3 25.8 23.0 18.1 10.3 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Vennard 83.8% 53.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9
Elijah Armstrong 67.4% 97.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Louis McAfee 65.8% 113.5 0.0 0.0
Rhys Park 65.0% 131.4
Addison DeHaven 64.8% 163.0
Chandler Austin 64.8% 165.9
John Rodeheffer 64.8% 219.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Vennard 11.6 0.0 0.8 2.2 3.3 5.3 5.9 7.0 6.4 5.7 5.3 4.9 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.3 3.0 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.5
Elijah Armstrong 23.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.4 3.2
Louis McAfee 28.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.8 2.7 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0
Rhys Park 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9
Addison DeHaven 46.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0
Chandler Austin 47.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.8
John Rodeheffer 77.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 2
3 10.3% 95.9% 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 9.9 3
4 25.8% 90.2% 0.4 0.9 2.6 2.4 3.1 2.6 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.5 23.2 4
5 23.0% 80.2% 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 2.1 4.6 18.5 5
6 18.1% 57.7% 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.5 7.7 10.4 6
7 10.3% 12.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 9.0 1.3 7
8 6.9% 1.2% 0.1 6.9 0.1 8
9 2.9% 2.9 9
10 0.9% 0.9 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 64.8% 0.1 1.4 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.8 5.8 7.0 7.1 6.8 6.0 5.7 5.1 5.2 6.3 35.2 1.5 63.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Washington 77.6% 1.0 0.8
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 2.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.5
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 13.0